OK - so I came up with a little bit of a ridiculous system to do my baseball predictions this season. I wanted to give each team a score from 1-100 by assigning point values to different aspects of the team. The most important was #1 starter (10 points), least important was minor league system (1 point).
The entire system went like this:
1st starter - 10 points
2nd starter - 9 points
3rd starter- 8 points
4th starter - 7 points
5th starter - 6 points
Closer - 4 points
Bullpen - 6 points
Best hitter - 8 points
2nd best hitter - 7 points
3rd best hitter - 6 points
4th best hitter- 5 points
5th best hitter - 5 points
6th best hitter - 5 points
7-9th best hitter - 5 points
bench - 3 points
team defense - 5 points
minor league system - 1 point
Total Value: 100 points
I tried to weight it as best I could towards what is most important. For instance, pitching takes up 50%, hitting 41% and intangibles 9% of the total score. Starting rotation is 40%, but the top 2 pitchers are 19%. The 3 best hitters are worth 1% more (21%) than the rest of the bunch (20%). I included the minor league system only because there are always players called up that make a difference.I figured with such a fool-proof, complex system I would come up with definitive playoff teams. Right? Of course not. After hours of rating every player on every team, all I figured out was there are 16 teams that might make the playoffs, and 14 that probably won’t.
What I’m going to do is write a small capsule for each team with their scores in my rating system (and league rank) what their strengths and weaknesses are, their key player for the season and my outlook. I will post them all as soon as I write them. Hopefully about 1 a day until opening day. Since the point system was so close and is forcing me to actually use logic and sense to pick the playoff teams, I won’t be revealing my final picks until I’m done the capsules, because I haven’t decided all of them yet (if I have, I’ll say so in the capsule).As they are done, I’ll link to them down here
(alphabetical, NOT ORDER OF PREDICTED FINISH)-
AL EAST
AL Central
AL West
NL EAST
NL Central
NL West
31 comments ↓
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